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Sri Lanka’s military operations against the
terrorist LTTE has been identified by a
senior writer of the influential US
newspaper the Wall Street Journal as an
example of the success of military actions
to defeat terrorism.
Ben Stephens, senior writer of the Wall
Street Journal and former Editor in Chief of
the Jerusalem Post, in an Op-Ed piece
published yesterday (June 04) shows that the
best way to end an insurgency and terrorism
is to beat it.
The writer gives the examples of the success
of military action in Sadr City, Baghdad,
the Columbian troops against the FARC rebels
and the Sri Lankans military operation
against the LTTE, in exploding the generally
held belief that that there is “no military
solution” in dealing with insurgencies and
terror.
Referring to Sri Lanka the WSJ articles
states: “In Sri Lanka, a military offensive
by the government of President Mahinda
Rajapaksa has wrested control of seven of
the nine districts previously held by the
rebel group LTTE, better known as the Tamil
Tigers. Mr. Rajapaksa now promises victory
by the end of the year, even as the Tigers
continue to launch high-profile terrorist
attacks.
All this is good news in its own right.
Better yet, it explodes the mindless
shibboleth that there is "no military
solution" when it comes to dealing with
insurgencies. On the contrary, it turns out
that the best way to end an insurgency is,
quite simply, to beat it.”
It adds that: “The idea that there can be no
military solution has a way of taking hold
with civilians and generals eager to deflect
blame. This is how we arrived at the notion
that "political reconciliation" is a
precondition of military success, not a
result of it.”
The writer also states: “There's also a
tendency to misjudge the aims and ambitions
of the insurgents: To think they can be
mollified via one political concession or
another.”
Here is the text of the article by Ben
Stephens from the Wall Street Journal of
June 04, 08
Sadr City in Baghdad, the northeastern
districts of Sri Lanka and the Guaviare
province of Colombia have little in common
culturally, historically or politically. But
they are crucial reference points on a
global map in which long-running
insurgencies suddenly find themselves on the
verge of defeat.
For the week of May 16-23, there were 300
"violent incidents" in Iraq. That's down
from 1,600 last June and the lowest recorded
since March 2004. Al Qaeda has been crushed
by a combination of U.S. arms and Sunni
tribal resistance. On the Shiite side,
Moqtada al Sadr's Mahdi Army was routed by
Iraqi troops in Basra and later crumbled in
its Sadr City stronghold.
In Colombia, the 44-year-old FARC guerrilla
movement is now at its lowest ebb. Three of
its top commanders died in March, and the
number of FARC attacks is down by more than
two-thirds since 2002. In the face of a
stepped-up campaign by the Colombian
military (funded, equipped and trained by
the U.S.), the group is now experiencing
mass desertions. Former FARC leaders
describe a movement that is losing any
semblance of ideological coherence and
operational effectiveness.
In Sri Lanka, a military offensive by the
government of President Mahinda Rajapaksa
has wrested control of seven of the nine
districts previously held by the rebel group
LTTE, better known as the Tamil Tigers. Mr.
Rajapaksa now promises victory by the end of
the year, even as the Tigers continue to
launch high-profile terrorist attacks.
All this is good news in its own right.
Better yet, it explodes the mindless
shibboleth that there is "no military
solution" when it comes to dealing with
insurgencies. On the contrary, it turns out
that the best way to end an insurgency is,
quite simply, to beat it.
Why was this not obvious before? When
military strategies fail -- as they did in
Vietnam while the U.S. pursued the tactics
of attrition, or in Iraq prior to the surge
-- the idea that there can be no military
solution has a way of taking hold with
civilians and generals eager to deflect
blame. This is how we arrived at the notion
that "political reconciliation" is a
precondition of military success, not a
result of it.
There's also a tendency to misjudge the aims
and ambitions of the insurgents: To think
they can be mollified via one political
concession or another. Former Colombian
president Andres Pastrana sought to appease
the FARC by ceding to them a territory the
size of Switzerland. The predictable result
was to embolden the guerrillas, who were
adept at sensing and exploiting weakness.
The deeper problem here is the belief that
the best way to deal with insurgents is to
address the "root causes" of the grievance
that purportedly prompted them to take up
arms. But what most of these insurgencies
seek isn't social or moral redress: It's
absolute power. Like other "liberation
movements" (the PLO comes to mind), the
Tigers are notorious for killing other
Tamils seen as less than hard line in their
views of the conflict. The failure to defeat
these insurgencies thus becomes the primary
obstacle to achieving a reasonable political
settlement acceptable to both sides.
This isn't to say that political strategies
shouldn't be pursued in tandem with military
ones. Gen. David Petraeus was shrewd to
exploit the growing enmity between al Qaeda
and their Sunni hosts by offering former
insurgents a place in the country's security
forces as "Sons of Iraq." (The liberal use
of "emergency funds," aka political bribes,
also helped.) Colombian President Alvaro
Uribe has more than just extended amnesty
for "demobilized" guerrillas; he's also
given them jobs in the army.
But these political approaches only work
when the intended beneficiaries can be
reasonably confident that they are joining
the winning side. Nobody was abandoning the
FARC when Mr. Pastrana lay prostrate before
it. It was only after Mr. Uribe turned the
guerrilla lifestyle into a day-and-night
nightmare that the movement's luster finally
started to fade.
Defeating an insurgency is never easy even
with the best strategies and circumstances.
Insurgents rarely declare surrender, and
breakaway factions can create a perception
of menace even when their actual strength is
minuscule. It helps when the top insurgent
leaders are killed or captured: Peru’s
Shining Path, for instance, mostly collapsed
with the capture of Abimael Guzman. Yet the
Kurdish PKK is now resurgent nine years
after the imprisonment of Abdullah Ocalan,
thanks to the sanctuary it enjoys in
Northern Iraq.
Still, it's no small thing that neither the
PKK nor the Shining Path are capable of
killing tens of thousands of people and
terrorizing whole societies, as they were in
the 1980s. Among other things, beating an
insurgency allows a genuine process of
reconciliation and redress to take place,
and in a spirit of malice toward none. But
those are words best spoken after the
terrible swift sword has done its work.
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