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The fighting around the LTTE capital of
Kilinochchi is apparently attracting the
best fighters the LTTE has left, but these
offensive operations failed, unlike during
the last five to ten years and is one reason
why the LTTE are on their last legs, says
the US based military website, Strategy
Page.
"The LTTE no longer have a qualitative
edge on the battlefield," the website said.
It added that "the navy blockade
continues unbroken, despite desperate LTTE
attempts to ship weapons and munitions in.
There are only a few bits of coastline where
the LTTE can land stuff, so it's easier for
the navy to catch the smuggling attempts".
"Advancing troops have captured an LTTE
airstrip, hidden under nets and foliage. The
army is advancing up the east coast, past
the town of Mullaitivu, and down the east
coast along the Jaffna peninsula. The LTTE
defenses consist of recently recruited
fighters holding out in recently built
bunkers. The morale of the LTTE fighters is
rapidly declining, as is their battlefield
effectiveness".
"The government is also getting more
information on the day-to-day whereabouts of
LTTE leader Velupillai Prabakaran. The air
force is bombing these locations, hoping to
kill or wound Prabakaran (whose death would
be a major blow to the LTTE). In any event,
the army believes they will have Prabakaran,
dead or alive, with six weeks.
While there's always a chance that
Prabakaran will flee the island and attempt
to keep up a terror campaign from exile,
that is considered unlikely. Sri Lankan
diplomatic efforts have gotten the LTTE
declared an international terrorist
organization, and it's unlikely any nation
would allow Prabakaran to operate within
their borders," the website added.
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