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For all those who argue that there's no
military solution for terrorism, we have two
words: Sri Lanka.
This week, the Sri Lankan army said it had
captured the last piece of the northern
Jaffna Peninsula, one of the few remaining
strongholds of the Liberation Tigers of
Tamil Eelam, a terrorist organization that
has waged a 26-year civil war that's claimed
tens of thousands of lives, including those
of a Sri Lankan President and an Indian
Prime Minister.
That's a huge turnaround from only three
years ago, when the Tigers effectively
controlled the bulk of the Northern and
Eastern Provinces and were perpetrating
suicide bombings in the country's capital,
Colombo.
Credit goes to the government of President
Mahinda Rajapaksa, who has made eliminating
the Tigers a priority and invested resources
to make it happen. Military spending has
surged to $1.7 billion for fiscal 2009,
roughly 5% of GDP and nearly 20% of the
government's budget.
The expanded Sri Lankan army is now equipped
to employ sophisticated counterinsurgency
strategies -- such as a multifront attack
and quick raids behind Tiger lines. In 2007,
the army won its first significant victory
by pacifying the Tamil-Muslim-majority
Eastern Province, historically a Tiger
stronghold. Local and provincial elections
were held there last year. The military
offensive will now turn to Mullaittivu, the
last district controlled by the Tigers in
the Northern Province.
This string of victories is a shock to those
who thought this conflict, which has
political origins, could have only a
political solution. The violence started in
1983, ostensibly over Tamil grievances with
a Sinhalese-majority government that made
Sinhala the country's official language and
doled out economic favors to the Sinhalese,
who are Buddhist, including preferences for
government jobs and schooling. Devolution of
power to the provinces has long been floated
as the best political fix.
But the Tigers always had other ideas. To
wit: They wanted the Tamil homeland to be an
independent state with the Tigers at its
head. Like other terrorist outfits, the
Tigers never accepted the legitimacy of any
other group to speak on behalf of their
supposed constituents. They were unwilling
to accept any negotiated settlement that
wouldn't entrench their own power.
That's why earlier efforts to negotiate away
Sri Lanka's terror problem failed. In 1987,
then-President Junius Jayewardene offered
the Tamils a homeland in the north and east
that would have given them wide powers,
although not a separate state. In the 1990s,
another President, Chandrika Kumaratunga,
offered another devolution plan. The Tigers
refused both offers and the terrorism
continued.
In 2002, Norway orchestrated a peace process
that resulted in a cease-fire. This time,
the Tigers themselves concocted a proposal
for a form of regional autonomy in Tamil
areas, and the government agreed in
principle. Then the Tigers nixed their own
deal, betting they could do better with
violence after all. They spent the next four
years violating the cease-fire.
Repeated negotiations made a settlement
harder to achieve. The Tigers gladly
murdered moderate Tamil leaders open to
genuine negotiations with Colombo. The
European Union dithered on declaring the
Tigers a terrorist group for the sake of
encouraging the peace process, hindering
efforts to cut off funding and allowing the
killing to continue.
Meanwhile, occasional efforts to subdue the
Tigers by force failed through lack of
political will or because of outside
interference. In 1987, Mr. Jayewardene
gained ground in the north, only to be
undermined by Indian Prime Minister Rajiv
Gandhi, who airlifted food to the militants
to curry favor with his country's own Tamil
population. Then the Indians changed tack,
and an Indian peacekeeping force managed to
quell the Tiger insurgency for a time
between 1987 and 1989. But that operation
was derided as a "quagmire" by some Indian
politicians. The force was withdrawn
prematurely in 1990. Another Sri Lankan
military effort, begun in 1995, collapsed in
2000 due to insufficient troop numbers and
political meddling in military
decision-making.
Mr. Rajapaksa appears to have learned from
all this, which is why he has insisted on
military victory before implementing a
political solution. It helps that India has
stayed out this time around and other
countries -- including the EU -- are now
tracking and thwarting Tiger financing.
Peace still will not be easy or, despite
recent good news, immediate. The Tigers may
still be able to carry out some terror
attacks, though they no longer pose a
wide-scale threat. And Colombo faces
questions about its commitment to a
permanent political settlement. It has taken
some steps, such as a 1987 constitutional
amendment again making Tamil an official
language, and in 2006 it convened an
all-party conference to recommend further
pro-devolution constitutional changes. It is
dragging its feet on implementing other
constitutional measures that would pave the
way for devolution. But a political
settlement is something to discuss after the
Tigers have been subdued.
We recount this history at length to make a
simple point: Colombo's military strategy
against Tamil terrorists has worked.
Negotiations haven't. That's an important
reminder as Israel faces its own terrorism
problem and as the U.S. works to foster
stability and political progress in Iraq.
Take note, Barack Obama.
Courtesy: Wall Street Journal
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