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Sri
Lanka's
economy
will
grow 5.5
percent
in 2010
due to
improving
domestic
demand
and
potential
export
growth
after
the
25-year
war
ended in
2009 and
as
global
recovery
takes
hold,
the IMF
said.
Increased
domestic
economic
activities
after
the end
of the
war and
expected
export
growth
as the
global
economy
recovers
will
help,
the IMF
Director
for Sri
Lanka,
Koshy
Mathai,
told
Reuters.
"The
global
environment
is still
not very
strong
as
recovery
is slow.
On that
basis
5.5
percent
is a
good
number,"
he said.
IMF
has set
targets
for Sri
Lanka on
reserves,
monetary
policy,
and
fiscal
deficits
for loan
disbursement
and
Mathai
said the
island
had met
its July
and
September
targets
to get
the
first
two
tranches
of the
loan,
Reuters
reported.
"We
think
that
they
would
have met
the
reserve
targets
and
monetary
policy
targets.
Fiscal
is the
one
where
the
government
itself
says
there is
a
question,"
Mathai
said.
"We
haven't
seen
data
yet, but
one
worry is
what's
happening
on the
expenditure
side".
The
$40
billion
economy,
which
was hit
by a
balance
of
payment
crisis
early
last
year,
has
already
received
two
tranches
of a
$2.6
billion
IMF loan
and the
third is
due
soon,
Reuters
reported.
Sri
Lanka
could
issue
its
third
international
bond
later
this
year
with a
longer,
10-year
maturity,
the
central
bank
governor
said in
London
on
Tuesday.
The
loan has
helped
to
stabilise
the
rupee
currency
LKR= and
boost
global
investor
confidence
to
invest
in
post-war
Sri
Lankan
government
securities
and the
bourse .CSE.
It also
helped
to
stabilise
interest
rates
and to
sell a
5-year
$500
million
sovereign
bond
last
year.
"Now
basically
there is
a stable
macro
economy.
There is
fiscal
concern
that
needs to
be
remedied
in order
to make
sure
that
things
remain
stable."
The
global
lender
said Sri
Lanka
has done
well in
monetary
policy
and
reserve
targets.
"We
see
right
now the
monetary
policies
are in
the
right
place.
We don't
see any
signs of
overheating
in the
economy.
We don't
see
demand-driven
inflation,"
Mathai
said.
Annual
inflation,
which
reached
a record
high of
28.2
percent
in June
2008,
slowed
to a
record
low of
0.7
percent
in
September
last
year. It
hit a
nine-month
high of
6.5
percent
in
January.
Foreign
currency
reserves,
which
were at
an
eight-year
low of
$1.3
billion
in March
2009,
are now
at
record
high of
over $5
billion.
Mathai
said the
central
bank
should
continue
to
increase
its
reserves
to allow
high
imports
when
rapid
growth
starts.
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